FT · SCOTLAND: Premiership · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Aberdeen 0–1 RangersMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Rangers or draw at 78%. Bawler had Aberdeen at 22%, the draw at 24% and Rangers at 54%. The match finished 0–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Aberdeen win
22%
Draw
24%
Rangers win
54%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.9
Total 3.0
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Missed
Medium confidence
Rangers to win
Pre-match: 54%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 36%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.