Aberdeen vs Rangers prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sun 30 Aug · 12:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sun 30 Aug · 12:00 UK
Aberdeen 22Draw 24Rangers 54
Our call before kickoff
78%
Rangers or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Rangers beat Aberdeen 1–0. Bawler's model had Rangers in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Aberdeen had 10 shots (2 on target) to Rangers' 18 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.

AberdeenFull-time statsRangers
44%Possession56%
0.5Expected goals (xG)1.8
10Shots18
2Shots on target5
5Shots inside box8
1Big chances1
6Corners6
3Saves2
21Fouls15
4Offsides2
6Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRangers or draw 78%Rangers won (54% called)
Total goals3.01
Both teams to score58%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Missed
Second pickRangers to win 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AberdeenRangers
1.1
Goals+0.8
1.9
12.0
Shots+2.8
14.7
4.4
On target+1.1
5.6
4.7
Corners+1.2
5.9
AberdeenRangers
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
5.4
Shots+1.6
7.0
2.0
On target+0.5
2.5
2.2
Corners+0.6
2.8
AberdeenRangers
0.8
Goals+0.6
1.3
6.6
Shots+1.2
7.7
2.5
On target+0.6
3.1
2.5
Corners+0.6
3.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Rangers to score85%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Aberdeen to score68%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Aberdeen
38%
to score before half-time
Rangers
58%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

AberdeenRangers
5.41st-half shots7.0
2.01st-half shots on target2.5
2.21st-half corners2.8

First-half chances

43%Chance of 6+ shots64%
22%Chance of 8+ shots40%
55%Chance of 2+ shots on target68%
16%Chance of 4+ shots on target26%
60%Chance of 2+ corners71%
20%Chance of 4+ corners31%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Aberdeen5.46.6
Shots · Rangers7.07.7
Shots on target · Aberdeen2.02.5
Shots on target · Rangers2.53.1
Corners · Aberdeen2.22.5
Corners · Rangers2.83.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Aberdeen 0 · Draws 1 · Rangers 4
Rangers in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Rangers 4–1 Aberdeen
Jan 2026Aberdeen 0–2 Rangers
Jan 2026Rangers 2–0 Aberdeen
May 2025Rangers 4–0 Aberdeen
Apr 2025Aberdeen 2–2 Rangers
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Aberdeen vs Rangers?

Rangers beat Aberdeen 1–0. Bawler's model had Rangers in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Aberdeen had 10 shots (2 on target) to Rangers' 18 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Aberdeen vs Rangers?

Aberdeen 0–1 Rangers, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with Aberdeen 22%, the draw 24% and Rangers 54%.

What were the stats in Aberdeen vs Rangers?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.8, Shots 10–18, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 5–8, Big chances 1–1, Corners 6–6, Saves 3–2, Fouls 21–15, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 6–3.

Did both teams score in Aberdeen vs Rangers?

No. It finished 0–1, so Aberdeen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Aberdeen vs Rangers right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Rangers or draw 78%, it finished Rangers won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Rangers to win 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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