Argentina vs Bolivia prediction — International friendlies · Thu 1 Oct · 00:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Thu 1 Oct · 00:00 UK · Neutral venue
Argentina 96Draw 4Bolivia 0
Our call before kickoff
96%
Argentina to win
Landed
4.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
83%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
16%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
76%

How it finished

Argentina beat Bolivia 4–0. Bawler's model had Argentina in front at 96% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.0 goals and the match produced 4. Argentina had 18 shots (6 on target) to Bolivia's 3 (0), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.1.

ArgentinaFull-time statsBolivia
69%Possession31%
2.2Expected goals (xG)0.1
18Shots3
6Shots on target0
16Shots inside box2
4Big chances1
12Corners1
0Saves2
11Fouls12
1Offsides1
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callArgentina to win 96%Argentina won (96% called)
Total goals4.04
Both teams to score16%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

ArgentinaBolivia
3.8
Goals+3.6
0.2
ArgentinaBolivia
0.8
Goals+0.7
0.1
ArgentinaBolivia
3.0
Goals+2.9
0.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals91%
Both teams to score — no84%
Over 2.5 goals76%

First half — what we expected

Argentina
82%
to score before half-time
Bolivia
8%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Argentina form (last 6)W W W W W L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+3.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Argentina 5 · Draws 0 · Bolivia 0

Head to head

Oct 2024Argentina 6–0 Bolivia
Sept 2023Bolivia 0–3 Argentina
Sept 2021Argentina 3–0 Bolivia
Jun 2021Bolivia 1–4 Argentina
Oct 2020Bolivia 1–2 Argentina
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Argentina vs Bolivia?

Argentina beat Bolivia 4–0. Bawler's model had Argentina in front at 96% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.0 goals and the match produced 4. Argentina had 18 shots (6 on target) to Bolivia's 3 (0), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.1.

What was the final score in Argentina vs Bolivia?

Argentina 4–0 Bolivia, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Argentina 96%, the draw 4% and Bolivia 0%.

What were the stats in Argentina vs Bolivia?

Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.1, Shots 18–3, Shots on target 6–0, Shots inside box 16–2, Big chances 4–1, Corners 12–1, Saves 0–2, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Argentina vs Bolivia?

No. It finished 4–0, so Bolivia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 16% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Argentina vs Bolivia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Argentina to win 96%, it finished Argentina won (96% called); Total goals — we said 4.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 16%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Argentina form →Bolivia form →