Argentina beat Bolivia 4–0. Bawler's model had Argentina in front at 96% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.0 goals and the match produced 4. Argentina had 18 shots (6 on target) to Bolivia's 3 (0), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Argentina beat Bolivia 4–0. Bawler's model had Argentina in front at 96% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.0 goals and the match produced 4. Argentina had 18 shots (6 on target) to Bolivia's 3 (0), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.1.
Argentina 4–0 Bolivia, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Argentina 96%, the draw 4% and Bolivia 0%.
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.1, Shots 18–3, Shots on target 6–0, Shots inside box 16–2, Big chances 4–1, Corners 12–1, Saves 0–2, Fouls 11–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–1.
No. It finished 4–0, so Bolivia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 16% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Argentina to win 96%, it finished Argentina won (96% called); Total goals — we said 4.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 16%, it finished No.