Argentina vCape Verde
Over 2.5 Goals dominates at 75% probability because Argentina's 2.17 xG dwarfs Cape Verde's 0.75, giving the hosts a decisive 1.42-goal edge in shot quality.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Argentina average 4.0 corners per game at home this season (3 competitive matches). Cape Verde average 3.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Argentina vs Cape Verde — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Argentina and Cape Verde — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Argentina 67% · draw 23% · Cape Verde 11%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.