How it finished
Montenegro beat Armenia 3–2. Bawler's model had Montenegro in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Armenia had 10 shots (4 on target) to Montenegro's 12 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Armenia vs Montenegro?
Montenegro beat Armenia 3–2. Bawler's model had Montenegro in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. Armenia had 10 shots (4 on target) to Montenegro's 12 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Armenia vs Montenegro?
Armenia 2–3 Montenegro, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Armenia 31%, the draw 25% and Montenegro 45%.
What were the stats in Armenia vs Montenegro?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.4, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 6–9, Big chances 2–3, Corners 2–4, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–16, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Armenia vs Montenegro?
Yes — both Armenia and Montenegro scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Armenia vs Montenegro right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Montenegro or draw 69%, it finished Montenegro won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.