How it finished
Belarus beat Finland 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Finland at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Belarus 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Belarus had 6 shots (2 on target) to Finland's 14 (2), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Belarus vs Finland?
Belarus beat Finland 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Finland at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Belarus 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Belarus had 6 shots (2 on target) to Finland's 14 (2), with 26% of the ball against 74%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Belarus vs Finland?
Belarus 1–0 Finland, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Belarus 27%, the draw 27% and Finland 46%.
What were the stats in Belarus vs Finland?
Full-time: Possession 26%–74%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.7, Shots 6–14, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 2–8, Big chances 1–1, Corners 1–5, Saves 2–1, Fouls 17–11, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in Belarus vs Finland?
No. It finished 1–0, so Finland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Belarus vs Finland right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Finland or draw 73%, it finished Belarus won (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Missed.