Benfica v
Heart of Midlothian
Under 2.5 Goals is the play at 85% — Benfica's 0.80 xG and Hearts' 0.59 combine to just 1.39 total, signaling a low-volume Europa League qualifier.
BenficastepHeart of MidlothianModel probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Benfica average 7.1 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Hearts average 5.6 corners per game away from home this season (21 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Benfica vs Hearts — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Benfica and Hearts — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Benfica 58% · draw 27% · Hearts 16%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Benfica 6–1 Heart of MidlothianModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.