Benfica
Benfica operate as clinical attackers with a decisive xG advantage, averaging 1.79 goals created per match against 1.07 conceded, indicating a side that converts chances efficiently while maintaining defensive solidity. Recent form has stabilised around draws and wins (2W-2D across the last four settled fixtures), suggesting consistency without explosive momentum. With no imminent fixture in the prediction window, the model sits ready for their next domestic assignment. Bawler's banker selections on Benfica have maintained a perfect 100% hit rate across four picks, reflecting the model's reliability when pricing this team's underlying metrics.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Benfica were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Portugal: Primeira Liga average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Benfica are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Benfica actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Benfica's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.