EUROPE: Champions League - QualificationTuesday 11 Aug, 16:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vUnion St.-Gilloise

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Bodo/Glimt 55%Draw 28%Union St.-Gilloise 17%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
76%
How we get there
Bodo/GlimtstepUnion St.-Gilloise
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
Union St.-Gilloise or draw
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Bodo/Glimt average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (8 competitive matches). Union St.-Gilloise average 5.3 corners per game away from home this season (4 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Bodo/Glimt vs Union St.-Gilloise — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 4 August 2026, Bodo/Glimt have won 0, Union St.-Gilloise have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
4 August 2026Union St.-Gilloise 33 Bodo/GlimtEurope: Champions League - Qualification

The model's verdict for this fixture: Bodo/Glimt 55% · draw 28% · Union St.-Gilloise 17%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Bodo/Glimt 32 Union St.-Gilloise
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.