Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / Union St.-Gilloise
Team profile

Union St.-Gilloise Prediction

Per-game numbers from 8 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
16.1
a game
11.4 faced
On target
6.1
a game
3.8 faced
Goals
2.3 – 1.6
scored – conceded
a game, 8 matches
Corners
5.3
a game
4.4 against

Union St.-Gilloise prediction: Bawler's model rates Union St.-Gilloise at 1.81 expected goals scored and 1.45 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 88% of the time. They have won 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No Union St.-Gilloise fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Union St.-Gilloise sit close to the Pro League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.81 expected goals a game and conceding 1.45. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.25 a game against 1.81 expected. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Union St.-Gilloise have been correct 88% of the time.

Union St.-Gilloise in numbers

8 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
Home 2.8Away 1.8
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.4
Home 5.3Away 5.3
16.1
Shots · per game
faced 11.4
Home 13.5Away 18.8
6.1
On target · per game
faced 3.8
Home 5.5Away 6.8
Last 6 games
15 Aug
0-0
vs Zulte-Waregem
9-3
11 Aug
2-3
@ Bodo/Glimt
1-10
08 Aug
5-1
@ KVC Westerlo
5-4
04 Aug
3-3
vs Bodo/Glimt
5-0
24 May
5-1
vs Anderlecht
4-1
21 May
0-0
@ KAA Gent
5-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Union St.-Gilloise compare with the Belgium: Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.81
Above average
Goals against
1.45
Tighter than most
Record
3W 3D 2L
8 settled
Real goals
2.3 – 1.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.81
Conceded1.45

The grey line on each bar is the Belgium: Pro League average (1.57 scored, 1.64 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.81 xG per match · +0.24 above the Belgium: Pro League average of 1.57.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.45 xG per match · -0.19 vs league average of 1.64.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 83% of the time on Union St.-Gilloise fixtures (5/6).

How Bawler has done on Union St.-Gilloise

88%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 8, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)83%5/6
Result100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

Transfer activity

INOndrej KricfalusiDMfrom Banik Ostrava€5m
INDarius OlaruAMfrom FCSBUndisclosed
INRelebohile MofokengLWfrom Orlando Pirates€3.5m
INHervé KoffiGKfrom LensLoan
INIlan HurteventAMfrom KortrijkUndisclosed
INNikki HavenaarCBfrom Ried€400k
INNohim ChibaniCBfrom QuevillyFree transfer
INKeo Boetsfrom DesselFree transfer
OUTKjell ScherpenGKto Ipswich Town€10m
OUTAnan KhalailiRWBto Crystal PalaceUndisclosed
OUTChristian BurgessCBto GentFree transfer
OUTChristian BurgessCBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTMamadou BarryCBto Al ShababLoan
OUTCristian Makatéto K. Lierse SKUndisclosed
OUTJens TeunckensGKto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Union St.-Gilloise and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly