World: World CupSaturday 27 Jun, 00:00 UTC

Cape Verde vSaudi Arabia

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.42 goals expected
Cape Verde 29%Draw 34%Saudi Arabia 37%
Strongest call
Saudi Arabia or draw
74%

Draw or Saudi Arabia wins at 74% combined probability gives X2 the edge when Cape Verde's 1.13 xG barely outpaces a narrow 0.17-goal deficit.

How we get there
Cape VerdestepSaudi Arabia
1.13Base xG · rolling 26-match1.30
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.13Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.30
Most likely outcomes
Saudi Arabia or draw
74%
Draw
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Cape Verde average 3.3 corners per game this season (3 competitive matches). Saudi Arabia average 1.5 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
12
7
3
1
1
10
13
8
4
1
2
6
7
5
2
1
3
2
3
2
1
4
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Cape Verde fixtures & form →Saudi Arabia fixtures & form →

Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Cape Verde 29% · draw 34% · Saudi Arabia 37%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Cape Verde predictions & form →Saudi Arabia predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Cape Verde 0–0 Saudi Arabia
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.