Spain: La LigaSunday 16 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Celta Vigo vOsasuna

Most likely scoreline
10
13% of the time · 2.58 goals expected
Celta Vigo 49%Draw 28%Osasuna 23%
How we get there
Celta VigostepOsasuna
1.68Base xG · rolling 26-match0.90
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.68Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.90

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Celta Vigo average 4.3 corners per game at home this season (26 competitive matches). Osasuna average 3.0 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
7
3
1
1
13
11
5
2
2
11
10
4
1
3
6
5
2
1
4
3
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Celta Vigo and Osasuna — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Celta Vigo 49% · draw 28% · Osasuna 23%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.