Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Celta Vigo
Team profile

Celta Vigo Prediction

Per-game numbers from 52 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
10.4
a game
11.8 faced
On target
4.1
a game
4.0 faced
Goals
1.4 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 52 matches
Next match
28%
Celta Vigo win chance
at Valencia · Sat 22 Aug 17:30

Celta Vigo prediction: for Celta Vigo's next match — Valencia vs Celta Vigo on Saturday 22 Aug, 17:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Valencia are favoured (43%).

Celta Vigo sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.41 expected goals a game and conceding 1.38. Next up is a trip to Valencia, where the model has them as underdogs at 28%.

Celta Vigo in numbers

52 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 1.5Away 1.4
3.8
Corners · per game
give up 4.4
Home 4.3Away 3.2
10.4
Shots · per game
faced 11.8
Home 11.6Away 9.1
4.1
On target · per game
faced 4.0
Home 4.3Away 3.9
Last 6 games
23 May
1-0
vs Sevilla
4-3
17 May
1-1
@ Athletic Bilbao
-
12 May
2-3
vs Levante
4-4
09 May
1-0
@ Atlético Madrid
0-10
03 May
3-1
vs Elche
4-2
26 Apr
1-2
@ Villarreal
5-7

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Valencia · Saturday 22 Aug, 17:30 UTC

Win
28%
Celta Vigo
Draw
29%
Loss
43%
Valencia
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Celta Vigo compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.41
Below average
Goals against
1.38
Tighter than most
Record
4W 1D 5L
10 settled
Real goals
1.5 – 1.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.41
Conceded1.38

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 83% of the time on Celta Vigo fixtures (5/6).

How Bawler has done on Celta Vigo

80%
of high-confidence calls correct — 8 of 10, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)83%5/6
Result67%2/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 10)

Sat 23 Mayvs Sevilla
High confidence: 1X
Sun 17 May@ Athletic Club
High confidence: 1X
Tue 12 Mayvs Levante
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 09 May@ Atlético Madrid
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Apr@ Villarreal
High confidence: Villarreal or Draw (Double Chance)
Thu 16 Aprvs Freiburg
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 09 Apr@ Freiburg
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 05 Apr@ Valencia
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 22 Marvs Alaves
High confidence: 1X
Thu 19 Mar@ Lyon
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INAltay BayindirGKfrom Manchester UnitedLoan
INAbdoulaye FayeCBfrom Bayer LeverkusenLoan
INAleix FebasCMfrom ElcheUndisclosed
INJavi GalánLBfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTÓscar MinguezaLMto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTHugo SoteloCMto LevanteLoan
OUTManuel SánchezLBto LevanteLoan
OUTUnai NúñezCBto EspanyolLoan
OUTCarlos DomínguezCBto Real OviedoLoan
OUTDamián RodríguezDMto CadizLoan
OUTCarlos DotorCMto MalagaLoan
OUTJoseph AidooCBto Free agentUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Celta Vigo and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly