Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Osasuna
Team profile

Osasuna Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.8
a game
12.4 faced
On target
4.0
a game
4.5 faced
Goals
1.2 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Next match
54%
Osasuna win chance
vs Levante · Mon 24 Aug 17:30

Osasuna prediction: for Osasuna's next match — Osasuna vs Levante on Monday 24 Aug, 17:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Osasuna win looks most likely (54%).

Osasuna sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.40 expected goals a game and conceding 1.29. Recent form is poor — 4 defeats in a row. Next up is Levante, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 54%.

Osasuna in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 1.6Away 0.7
3.7
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
Home 4.5Away 3.0
11.8
Shots · per game
faced 12.4
Home 14.8Away 8.9
4.0
On target · per game
faced 4.5
Home 5.3Away 2.7
Last 6 games
23 May
0-1
@ Getafe
4-2
17 May
1-2
vs Espanyol
9-2
12 May
1-2
vs Atlético Madrid
8-4
08 May
2-3
@ Levante
1-15
02 May
1-2
vs Barcelona
3-7
26 Apr
2-1
vs Sevilla
4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Levante · Monday 24 Aug, 17:30 UTC

Win
54%
Osasuna
Draw
26%
Loss
20%
Levante
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Osasuna compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.40
Below average
Goals against
1.29
Tighter than most
Record
2W 1D 4L
7 settled
Real goals
1.3 – 1.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.40
Conceded1.29

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.29 xG per match · -0.17 vs league average of 1.46.
4-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

How Bawler has done on Osasuna

71%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 7, well above the ~65% baseline
Result67%2/3
Goals (Over/Under)67%2/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

Sat 23 May@ Getafe
High confidence: X2
Sun 17 Mayvs Espanyol
High confidence: X2
Tue 12 Mayvs Atlético Madrid
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 08 May@ Levante
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Aprvs Sevilla
High confidence: Osasuna or Draw (Double Chance)
Sun 05 Apr@ Alaves
High confidence: X2
Sat 21 Marvs Girona
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INJonathan DubasinRWfrom Sporting Gijon€4m
INRockson YeboahCBfrom IFK Göteborg€3m
INDiego RicoLBfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTVíctor MuñozLWto Liverpool€40m
OUTJuan CruzCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTIker BenitoRMto Queretaro FC€500k
OUTSheraldo BeckerSTto Mainz 05€500k
OUTCarlos Lumbrerasto EibarFree transfer
OUTDimitrios Stamatakisto UD IbizaLoan
OUTMartín PedroarenaRWto Arenas GetxoFree transfer
OUTAnder YoldiLWBto UD IbizaFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Osasuna and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly