CF Montréal v
New England Revolution
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 75% because Montréal's 1.66 xG dominates New England's 1.20, creating a 0.46 gap that suggests enough attacking volume for multiple goals.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
CF Montréal average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). New England Revolution average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (21 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
CF Montréal vs New England Revolution — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between CF Montréal and New England Revolution — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: CF Montréal 45% · draw 30% · New England Revolution 25%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.