Bawler / USA: MLS / New England Revolution
Team profile

New England Revolution Prediction

Per-game numbers from 46 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.2
a game
13.7 faced
On target
4.3
a game
4.5 faced
Goals
1.3 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 46 matches
Next match
27%
New England Revolution win chance
at D.C. United · Wed 19 Aug 23:30

New England Revolution prediction: for New England Revolution's next match — D.C. United vs New England Revolution on Wednesday 19 Aug, 23:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it D.C. United are favoured (46%).

New England Revolution sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.35 expected goals a game and conceding 1.37. Next up is a trip to D.C. United, where the model has them as underdogs at 27%.

New England Revolution in numbers

46 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 1.2Away 1.3
5.2
Corners · per game
give up 4.7
Home 5.6Away 4.8
12.2
Shots · per game
faced 13.7
Home 11.6Away 12.8
4.3
On target · per game
faced 4.5
Home 4.0Away 4.6
Last 6 games
15 Aug
1-2
@ Toronto
9-0
08 Aug
0-2
vs Houston Dynamo
9-4
01 Aug
2-2
@ CF Montréal
3-6
25 Jul
4-1
vs Atlanta Utd
4-6
22 Jul
0-0
vs Toronto
7-9
23 May
0-1
@ Charlotte
4-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs D.C. United · Wednesday 19 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Win
27%
This team
Draw
27%
Loss
46%
D.C. United
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How New England Revolution compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.35
Below average
Goals against
1.37
Tighter than most
Record
5W 2D 5L
12 settled
Real goals
1.3 – 1.4
For / against, per match
Scored1.35
Conceded1.37

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

How Bawler has done on New England Revolution

58%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 12
Goals (Over/Under)63%5/8
Result50%2/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Sun 23 Augvs New York City FC

Recent matches (last 10)

Sun 16 Aug@ Toronto FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 08 Augvs Houston Dynamo FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 02 Aug@ CF Montréal
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Julvs Atlanta United FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 23 Julvs Toronto FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 24 May@ Charlotte FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Minnesota United FC
High confidence: X2
Thu 14 Mayvs Nashville SC
High confidence: X2
Sun 10 Mayvs Philadelphia Union
High confidence: X2
Sun 03 Mayvs Charlotte FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INJack HarrisonRWfrom Leeds UnitedUndisclosed
INCody BakerRBfrom Seattle Sounders FCLoan
INWilson HarrisSTfrom Free agentFree transfer
INMarcos ZambranoSTfrom Real Salt LakeLoan
INTylon SmithCBfrom Queens Park RangersLoan
OUTAllan OyirwothCMto Dunfermline AthleticLoan
OUTBrayan CeballosCBto CF Montreal€660k
OUTEric KleinCMto Rhode IslandLoan
OUTMalcolm FryRWto LexingtonLoan
OUTKeegan HughesCBto Birmingham Legion FCLoan
OUTTomás ChancalayLWto Minnesota United€85k

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on New England Revolution and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly