CF Montréal vToronto FC
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 74% probability because Montréal's 0.40 expected-goal edge and superior 1.56 xG output creates a ceiling-breaching attacking mismatch Toronto's 1.17 xG simply cannot defend.
CF MontréalstepToronto FCModel probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
CF Montréal average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Toronto average 4.2 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
CF Montréal vs Toronto — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between CF Montréal and Toronto — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: CF Montréal 43% · draw 31% · Toronto 26%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
CF Montréal 0–0 Toronto FCModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.