FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Colorado Rapids 2–0 Sporting Kansas CityMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Colorado Rapids or draw at 83%. Bawler had Colorado Rapids at 57%, the draw at 26% and Sporting Kansas City at 17%. The match finished 2–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Colorado Rapids win
57%
Result
Draw
26%
Sporting Kansas City win
17%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.0 – 1.0
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.9 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 85%
Landed
Outside shot
Sporting Kansas City or draw
Pre-match: 24%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.