Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City prediction — MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 02:30 UK
Colorado Rapids 57Draw 26Sporting Kansas City 17
Our call before kickoff
83%
Colorado Rapids or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Colorado Rapids beat Sporting Kansas City 2–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Colorado Rapids had 28 shots (3 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 6 (3), with 74% of the ball against 26%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.0.

Colorado…Full-time statsSporting…
74%Possession26%
2.9Expected goals (xG)1.0
28Shots6
3Shots on target3
17Shots inside box3
6Big chances3
8Corners2
3Saves1
12Fouls12
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callColorado Rapids or draw 83%Colorado Rapids won (57% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score55%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Colorado RapidsSporting Kansas City
2.0
Goals+1.0
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Colorado Rapids to score87%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals64%
Sporting Kansas City to score63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Colorado Rapids 2 · Draws 0 · Sporting Kansas City 3
Sporting Kansas City in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Sporting Kansas City 1–4 Colorado Rapids
Aug 2025Sporting Kansas City 4–2 Colorado Rapids
Jul 2025Colorado Rapids 1–2 Sporting Kansas City
Sept 2024Sporting Kansas City 4–1 Colorado Rapids
Jul 2024Colorado Rapids 2–1 Sporting Kansas City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?

Colorado Rapids beat Sporting Kansas City 2–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Colorado Rapids had 28 shots (3 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 6 (3), with 74% of the ball against 26%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?

Colorado Rapids 2–0 Sporting Kansas City, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colorado Rapids 57%, the draw 26% and Sporting Kansas City 17%.

What were the stats in Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?

Full-time: Possession 74%–26%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–1.0, Shots 28–6, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 17–3, Big chances 6–3, Corners 8–2, Saves 3–1, Fouls 12–12, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2, Red cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?

No. It finished 2–0, so Sporting Kansas City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colorado Rapids or draw 83%, it finished Colorado Rapids won (57% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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