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Bawler / USA: MLS / Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City crest

Sporting Kansas City

USA: MLS

Sporting Kansas City operate as a distinctly defensive unit, conceding 2.37 xG per match against an output of just 1.04—a profile that demands solidity at the back but leaves little margin for error in attack. Recent form has been choppy, yielding two wins and three losses across their last six, though consecutive victories suggest some stabilisation. With no immediate fixture scheduled, the model's focus remains on parsing their underlying efficiency gap; teams this reliant on defensive discipline tend to produce volatile results. Bawler's banker selections on SKC have hit at 83 per cent, indicating strong predictive consistency in their favour.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.13-0.33 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)2.30+0.87 vs league
◇ = USA: MLS average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Sporting Kansas City were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Sporting Kansas City are above average there.

> xG performance · last 7 matches
0123456vs Colorado Rapids: actual 1, xG 1.04@ Vancouver Whitecaps: actual 0, xG 0.74vs Seattle Sounders: actual 1, xG 0.60@ Portland Timbers: actual 0, xG 1.29vs LA Galaxy: actual 3, xG 1.08@ Austin: actual 2, xG 1.48vs Red Bull New York: actual 1, xG 1.65Colora@VancouSeattl@PortlaLA Gal@AustinRed Bu
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate +0.1 goals vs xG (+0.02/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Sporting Kansas City actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.13 xG per match · -0.33 above the USA: MLS average of 1.45.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 2.30 xG per match · +0.87 vs league average of 1.43.
Bawler's edge: Goals (Over/Under)
Banker picks in this market land 100% of the time on Sporting Kansas City fixtures (3/3).
> Form · last 5
Overall: 2W / 1D / 4L · Avg goals 1.1 for, 2.6 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Sporting Kansas City's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
7
7 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.13
per match
Avg xG Conceded
2.30
per match
Banker Hit Rate
86%
6/7 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Sporting Kansas City matches
86%
hit rate over 7 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Sporting Kansas City fixture, the model lands 6 out of 7 (86%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Sporting Kansas City by market
Result75%3/4
Goals (Over/Under)100%3/3

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Sporting Kansas City fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Sporting Kansas City matches.

> Recent matches (last 7)

> More from Bawler