Croatia vGhana
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 81% because Croatia's 1.79 xG dominates Ghana's 1.04, and Kramarić's 22% of team output gives the hosts a sharp scoring edge at home.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Ghana average 2.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Croatia vs Ghana — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Croatia and Ghana — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Croatia 52% · draw 29% · Ghana 20%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.