How it finished
Cyprus beat Latvia 2–1. Bawler's model had Cyprus in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Cyprus had 19 shots (7 on target) to Latvia's 12 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Cyprus vs Latvia?
Cyprus beat Latvia 2–1. Bawler's model had Cyprus in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 3. Cyprus had 19 shots (7 on target) to Latvia's 12 (1), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Cyprus vs Latvia?
Cyprus 2–1 Latvia, played on 05 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cyprus 53%, the draw 27% and Latvia 20%.
What were the stats in Cyprus vs Latvia?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.7, Shots 19–12, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 12–8, Big chances 4–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 0–5, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Cyprus vs Latvia?
Yes — both Cyprus and Latvia scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Cyprus vs Latvia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Cyprus or draw 80%, it finished Cyprus won (53% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished Yes.