D.C. United vToronto FC
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 68% probability because D.C. United's 0.40 xG advantage and dominant shot creation (1.46 xG vs 1.05) should pressure Toronto into an open, goal-heavy contest at home.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
D.C. United average 4.9 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Toronto average 4.2 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
D.C. United vs Toronto — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between D.C. United and Toronto — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: D.C. United 43% · draw 32% · Toronto 25%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.