FT · SCOTLAND: Premiership · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Dundee 1–2 HibernianMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Hibernian or draw at 73%. Bawler had Dundee at 27%, the draw at 27% and Hibernian at 47%. The match finished 1–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
Dundee win
27%
Draw
27%
Hibernian win
47%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.6
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 2.4
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 75%
Landed
Medium confidence
Hibernian or draw
Pre-match: 73%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 29%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.