Dundee vs Hibernian prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sun 30 Aug · 15:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sun 30 Aug · 15:00 UK
Dundee 27Draw 27Hibernian 47
Our call before kickoff
73%
Hibernian or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
76%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
51%

How it finished

Hibernian beat Dundee 2–1. Bawler's model had Hibernian in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Dundee had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hibernian's 25 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.4.

DundeeFull-time statsHibernian
39%Possession61%
0.8Expected goals (xG)2.4
11Shots25
3Shots on target7
7Shots inside box18
1Big chances4
3Corners5
5Saves2
8Fouls14
2Offsides4
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callHibernian or draw 73%Hibernian won (47% called)
Total goals2.73
Both teams to score54%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 75%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

DundeeHibernian
1.1
Goals+0.4
1.6
11.4
Shots+3.2
14.6
3.7
On target+1.8
5.5
4.3
Corners+0.9
5.1
DundeeHibernian
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
5.6
Shots+1.3
6.9
1.6
On target+1.0
2.6
2.0
Corners+0.4
2.4
DundeeHibernian
0.7
Goals+0.3
1.0
5.8
Shots+1.9
7.7
2.1
On target+0.9
2.9
2.3
Corners+0.5
2.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Hibernian to score79%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Dundee to score68%

First half — what we expected

Dundee
40%
to score before half-time
Hibernian
60%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%

DundeeHibernian
5.61st-half shots6.9
1.61st-half shots on target2.6
2.01st-half corners2.4

First-half chances

47%Chance of 6+ shots63%
24%Chance of 8+ shots38%
46%Chance of 2+ shots on target69%
11%Chance of 4+ shots on target27%
81%Chance of 1+ corners87%
32%Chance of 3+ corners41%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Dundee5.65.8
Shots · Hibernian6.97.7
Shots on target · Dundee1.62.1
Shots on target · Hibernian2.62.9
Corners · Dundee2.02.3
Corners · Hibernian2.42.7
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Dundee 1 · Draws 1 · Hibernian 3
Hibernian in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Dundee FC 3–3 Hibernian
Nov 2025Hibernian 2–0 Dundee FC
Aug 2025Dundee FC 1–2 Hibernian
Apr 2025Hibernian 4–0 Dundee FC
Nov 2024Dundee FC 4–1 Hibernian
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Dundee vs Hibernian?

Hibernian beat Dundee 2–1. Bawler's model had Hibernian in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Dundee had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hibernian's 25 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.4.

What was the final score in Dundee vs Hibernian?

Dundee 1–2 Hibernian, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dundee 27%, the draw 27% and Hibernian 47%.

What were the stats in Dundee vs Hibernian?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–2.4, Shots 11–25, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 7–18, Big chances 1–4, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–2, Fouls 8–14, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Dundee vs Hibernian?

Yes — both Dundee and Hibernian scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Dundee vs Hibernian right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Hibernian or draw 73%, it finished Hibernian won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Dundee form →Hibernian form →