Hibernian beat Dundee 2–1. Bawler's model had Hibernian in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Dundee had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hibernian's 25 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Hibernian beat Dundee 2–1. Bawler's model had Hibernian in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Dundee had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hibernian's 25 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.4.
Dundee 1–2 Hibernian, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dundee 27%, the draw 27% and Hibernian 47%.
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–2.4, Shots 11–25, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 7–18, Big chances 1–4, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–2, Fouls 8–14, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Dundee and Hibernian scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Hibernian or draw 73%, it finished Hibernian won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed.