England vGhana
Over 2.5 Goals sits at 77% because England's 2.10 xG vastly outmatches Ghana's 0.81, creating the goal-heavy script this market demands.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
England average 5.0 corners per game at home this season (3 competitive matches). Ghana average 2.0 corners per game away from home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
England vs Ghana — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between England and Ghana — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: England 63% · draw 25% · Ghana 12%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.