PORTUGAL: Liga PortugalSaturday 08 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Estrela vSporting CP

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Estrela 36%Draw 32%Sporting CP 32%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
70%
How we get there
EstrelastepSporting CP
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
Sporting CP to win
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Estrela average 3.7 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Sporting average 6.0 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Estrela fixtures & form →Sporting CP fixtures & form →

Estrela vs Sporting — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Estrela and Sporting — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Estrela 36% · draw 32% · Sporting 32%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Estrela predictions & form →Sporting predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Estrela 2–2 Sporting CP
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.