FC Cincinnati v
San Jose Earthquakes
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 83% because both sides generate nearly identical attacking threat—Cincinnati's 1.81 xG and San Jose's 1.68 xG project a high-scoring script, with Evander's creative influence keeping the hosts sharp.
San Jose EarthquakesModel probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Cincinnati average 4.6 corners per game at home this season (28 competitive matches). San Jose Earthquakes average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (21 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Cincinnati 39% · draw 27% · San Jose Earthquakes 34%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
San Jose EarthquakesModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.