San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose operate as a mid-table attacking side, generating 1.61 xG per match whilst remaining relatively solid defensively at 1.18 conceded. Recent form has been inconsistent—two draws sandwiched between losses suggest they're struggling for clinical execution despite reasonable chance creation. With no immediate fixture in the analysis window, focus should remain on their underlying profile: a team capable of outperforming in the right matchups but prone to wasteful performances. Bawler's bankers on Earthquakes matches have landed at 67 per cent over the past cycle, indicating genuine predictive edge on their output variance.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals San Jose Earthquakes were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, San Jose Earthquakes are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals San Jose Earthquakes actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a San Jose Earthquakes fixture, the model lands 5 out of 7 (71%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on San Jose Earthquakes fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for San Jose Earthquakes matches.