FT · PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal · Sunday, 30 August 2026
FC Famalicao 0–0 Gil VicenteMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 30 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was FC Famalicao or draw at 72%. Bawler had FC Famalicao at 43%, the draw at 29% and Gil Vicente at 28%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Famalicao win
43%
Draw
29%
Result
Gil Vicente win
28%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.1
Total 2.4
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.2 – 0.3
From the match itself
The match produced 2.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
FC Famalicao or draw
Pre-match: 72%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 23%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.