FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente prediction — Liga Portugal · Sun 30 Aug · 20:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sun 30 Aug · 20:30 UK
FC Famalicao 43Draw 29Gil Vicente 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
FC Famalicao or draw
Landed
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
49%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
44%

How it finished

FC Famalicao and Gil Vicente drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals; nobody scored. FC Famalicao had 7 shots (1 on target) to Gil Vicente's 7 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 0.3.

FC FamalicaoFull-time statsGil Vicente
56%Possession44%
0.2Expected goals (xG)0.3
7Shots7
1Shots on target1
2Shots inside box3
0Big chances0
6Corners3
1Saves1
10Fouls19
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Famalicao or draw 72%Draw (29% called)
Total goals2.40
Both teams to score49%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FC FamalicaoGil Vicente
1.4
Goals+0.3
1.1
10.1
Shots+0.9
9.2
3.8
On target+0.7
3.1
4.2
Corners
4.2
FC FamalicaoGil Vicente
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.5
4.6
Shots+0.4
4.2
1.7
On target+0.2
1.5
2.0
Corners
2.0
FC FamalicaoGil Vicente
0.9
Goals+0.4
0.5
5.5
Shots+0.4
5.0
2.1
On target+0.5
1.6
2.2
Corners
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals77%
FC Famalicao to score75%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Gil Vicente to score65%

First half — what we expected

FC Famalicao
45%
to score before half-time
Gil Vicente
51%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

FC FamalicaoGil Vicente
4.61st-half shots4.2
1.71st-half shots on target1.5
2.01st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

62%Chance of 4+ shots55%
33%Chance of 6+ shots27%
77%Chance of 1+ shots on target72%
24%Chance of 3+ shots on target20%
81%Chance of 1+ corners81%
32%Chance of 3+ corners32%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · FC Famalicao4.65.5
Shots · Gil Vicente4.25.0
Shots on target · FC Famalicao1.72.1
Shots on target · Gil Vicente1.51.6
Corners · FC Famalicao2.02.2
Corners · Gil Vicente2.02.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FC Famalicao 2 · Draws 2 · Gil Vicente 1
Gil Vicente in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026Gil Vicente 5–0 Famalicão
Aug 2025Famalicão 0–0 Gil Vicente
Feb 2025Gil Vicente 0–2 Famalicão
Sept 2024Famalicão 1–1 Gil Vicente
Mar 2024Gil Vicente 1–2 Famalicão
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?

FC Famalicao and Gil Vicente drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals; nobody scored. FC Famalicao had 7 shots (1 on target) to Gil Vicente's 7 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 0.3.

What was the final score in FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?

FC Famalicao 0–0 Gil Vicente, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Famalicao 43%, the draw 29% and Gil Vicente 28%.

What were the stats in FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–0.3, Shots 7–7, Shots on target 1–1, Shots inside box 2–3, Big chances 0–0, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 10–19, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?

No. It finished 0–0, so FC Famalicao failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Famalicao or draw 72%, it finished Draw (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →FC Famalicao form →Gil Vicente form →