Bawler / Portugal: Primeira Liga / Gil Vicente
Team profile

Gil Vicente Prediction

Per-game numbers from 35 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.7
a game
10.3 faced
On target
4.5
a game
3.5 faced
Goals
1.4 – 1.1
scored – conceded
a game, 35 matches
Next match
57%
Gil Vicente win chance
vs Casa Pia · Mon 24 Aug 19:15

Gil Vicente prediction: for Gil Vicente's next match — Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia on Monday 24 Aug, 19:15 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Gil Vicente win looks most likely (57%).

Gil Vicente sit close to the Primeira Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.34 expected goals a game and conceding 1.33. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 4. Next up is Casa Pia, where the model makes them clear favourites at 57%.

Gil Vicente in numbers

35 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
Home 1.6Away 1.1
5.5
Corners · per game
give up 3.9
Home 5.4Away 5.7
13.7
Shots · per game
faced 10.3
Home 14.5Away 12.9
4.5
On target · per game
faced 3.5
Home 4.9Away 4.0
Last 6 games
09 Aug
1-0
vs Rio Ave
5-2
16 May
0-3
@ Sporting
1-6
11 May
1-3
vs Arouca
6-2
03 May
0-0
@ Rio Ave
7-9
27 Apr
2-1
vs Casa Pia
4-3
18 Apr
0-1
vs Vitoria Guimaraes
10-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Casa Pia · Monday 24 Aug, 19:15 UTC

Win
57%
Gil Vicente
Draw
29%
Loss
14%
Casa Pia
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Gil Vicente compare with the Portugal: Primeira Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.34
Below average
Goals against
1.33
Tighter than most
Record
1W 0D 3L
4 settled
Real goals
0.5 – 1.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.34
Conceded1.33

The grey line on each bar is the Portugal: Primeira Liga average (1.35 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Gil Vicente fixtures (3/4).

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

INDiogo PriosteCMfrom BenficaLoan
INJosé SilvaRBfrom Sporting CP BUndisclosed
INAndreas LausenCMfrom Esbjerg fB€670k
INRicardo EsgaioRBfrom Fatih KaragümrükUndisclosed
INSamuel PortugalGKfrom FC PortoFree transfer
INWalace FrançaSTfrom Athletico ParanaenseLoan
INDavid Moreirafrom Sporting CPUndisclosed
OUTLuís EstevesAMto Atlas€6m
OUTGhislain KonanLBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTZé CarlosRBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTDaniel FigueiraGKto FC NoahFree transfer
OUTJonathan MutomboLBto TorreenseUndisclosed
OUTJorge AguirreSTto TorreenseFree transfer
OUTRoko BaturinaSTto FC AarauUndisclosed
OUTRodrigo Rodriguesto Sporting CP BUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Gil Vicente and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly