Bawler / Portugal: Primeira Liga / Famalicao
Team profile

Famalicao Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.2
a game
10.7 faced
On target
4.3
a game
3.6 faced
Goals
1.2 – 0.9
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Next match
24%
Famalicao win chance
at Santa Clara · Sun 23 Aug 17:00

Famalicao prediction: for Famalicao's next match — Santa Clara vs Famalicao on Sunday 23 Aug, 17:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Santa Clara are favoured (41%).

Famalicao sit close to the Primeira Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.42 expected goals a game and conceding 1.28. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.80 goals a game against 1.42 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Next up is a trip to Santa Clara, where the model has them as underdogs at 24%.

Famalicao in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 0.9
Home 1.5Away 0.9
5.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.0
Home 5.7Away 5.3
12.2
Shots · per game
faced 10.7
Home 14.3Away 10.3
4.3
On target · per game
faced 3.6
Home 5.1Away 3.5
Last 6 games
07 Aug
1-1
@ Estoril
6-7
31 Jul
2-3
vs Como
-
28 Jul
1-0
@ Lens
-
28 Jul
0-1
vs Crystal Palace
-
16 May
1-0
vs Alverca
6-5
11 May
0-0
@ Estrela
10-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Santa Clara · Sunday 23 Aug, 17:00 UTC

Win
24%
Famalicao
Draw
35%
Loss
41%
Santa Clara
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Famalicao compare with the Portugal: Primeira Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.42
Above average
Goals against
1.28
Tighter than most
Record
3W 2D 0L
5 settled
Real goals
0.8 – 0.2
For / against, per match
Scored1.42
Conceded1.28

The grey line on each bar is the Portugal: Primeira Liga average (1.35 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.28 xG per match · -0.17 vs league average of 1.45.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Famalicao fixtures (3/3).

How Bawler has done on Famalicao

80%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Result100%3/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Fri 07 Aug@ Estoril
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 16 Mayvs Alverca
High confidence: 1X
Mon 11 May@ Estrela
High confidence: X2
Sun 26 Apr@ Estoril
High confidence: Estoril or Draw (Double Chance)
Sat 21 Marvs Nacional
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INGeorgios KoutsiasSTfrom LuganoUndisclosed
INFinn van BreemenCBfrom BaselUndisclosed
INTamás SzucsDMfrom DebrecenUndisclosed
INPaulo MoreiraCMfrom Free agentFree transfer
INLeny MeyerLBfrom VfB Stuttgart IIFree transfer
OUTIbrahima BaCBto Sporting CP€21m
OUTGustavo SáAMto Nottingham Forest€20m
OUTJustin De HaasCBto ValenciaFree transfer
OUTSimon ElisorSTto Universitatea CraiovaUndisclosed
OUTOtso LiimattaSTto Halmstads BKLoan
OUTOtso LiimattaSTto SiriusUndisclosed
OUTRafa SoaresLBto Free agentFree transfer
OUTOtar MamageishviliDMto Wolfsberger ACLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Famalicao and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly