NETHERLANDS: EredivisieSunday 09 Aug, 12:30 UTC

FC Groningen vFC Utrecht

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
FC Groningen 55%Draw 27%FC Utrecht 18%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
78%
How we get there
FC GroningenstepFC Utrecht
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Both teams to score
52%
Over 3.5 goals
26%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Groningen average 6.8 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Utrecht average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

FC Groningen fixtures & form →FC Utrecht fixtures & form →

Groningen vs Utrecht — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Groningen and Utrecht — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Groningen 55% · draw 27% · Utrecht 18%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Groningen predictions & form →Utrecht predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
FC Groningen 2–1 FC Utrecht
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.