Utrecht
Utrecht operate as a balanced attacking unit without defensive brittleness, averaging 1.60 xG for and 1.55 against—a profile that supports consistent outcomes rather than variance-driven results. Three straight wins have cemented recent momentum, though with no fixture immediately in the prediction window, the model's next opportunity to validate this form remains pending. Bawler's perfect 3-for-3 banker conversion rate on Utrecht matches underscores the reliability of the underlying Poisson framework for this side's output metrics.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Utrecht were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Netherlands: Eredivisie average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Utrecht are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Utrecht actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Utrecht's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.