PORTUGAL: Liga PortugalSunday 09 Aug, 17:00 UTC

FC Porto vAlverca

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
FC Porto 63%Draw 27%Alverca 11%
Strongest call
FC Porto to win
77%
How we get there
FC PortostepAlverca
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
FC Porto to win
77%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
Alverca or draw
20%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Porto average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Alverca average 4.4 corners per game away from home this season (18 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

FC Porto fixtures & form →Alverca fixtures & form →

Porto vs Alverca — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Porto and Alverca — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Porto 63% · draw 27% · Alverca 11%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Porto predictions & form →Alverca predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
FC Porto 2–0 Alverca
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.