How it finished
Finland and Belarus drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Finland at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Finland had 9 shots (2 on target) to Belarus' 9 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Finland vs Belarus?
Finland and Belarus drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Finland at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Finland had 9 shots (2 on target) to Belarus' 9 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Finland vs Belarus?
Finland 0–0 Belarus, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Finland 57%, the draw 22% and Belarus 21%.
What were the stats in Finland vs Belarus?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–0.5, Shots 9–9, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–7, Big chances 3–0, Corners 8–2, Saves 3–2, Fouls 18–14, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Finland vs Belarus?
No. It finished 0–0, so Finland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Finland vs Belarus right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Finland or draw 79%, it finished Draw (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Missed.