Germany vParaguay
Over 2.5 Goals dominates at 71% because Germany's 1.94 xG plus Paraguay's 0.85 creates a 1.09-goal gap that favors attacking output on home soil.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Germany vs Paraguay — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Germany and Paraguay — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Germany 60% · draw 26% · Paraguay 14%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.