Per-game numbers from 4 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
Germany prediction: Bawler's model rates Germany at 1.73 expected goals scored and 1.11 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 86% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Germany fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Germany are the most complete profile in this data: creating 1.73 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.11. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.71 a game against 1.73 expected. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Germany have been correct 86% of the time.
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →
How Germany compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.