How it finished
Gibraltar and Sao Tome and Principe drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Gibraltar at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.2 goals; nobody scored. Gibraltar had 8 shots (2 on target) to Sao Tome and Principe's 11 (1), with 58% of the ball against 42%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Gibraltar vs Sao Tome and Principe?
Gibraltar and Sao Tome and Principe drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Gibraltar at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.2 goals; nobody scored. Gibraltar had 8 shots (2 on target) to Sao Tome and Principe's 11 (1), with 58% of the ball against 42%.
What was the final score in Gibraltar vs Sao Tome and Principe?
Gibraltar 0–0 Sao Tome and Principe, played on 23 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Gibraltar 51%, the draw 24% and Sao Tome and Principe 25%.
What were the stats in Gibraltar vs Sao Tome and Principe?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Shots 8–11, Shots on target 2–1, Corners 2–4, Fouls 12–17, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Gibraltar vs Sao Tome and Principe?
No. It finished 0–0, so Gibraltar failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Gibraltar vs Sao Tome and Principe right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gibraltar or draw 75%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Gibraltar to win 51%, it finished Missed.