PORTUGAL: Liga PortugalSunday 09 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Gil Vicente vRio Ave

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Gil Vicente 58%Draw 29%Rio Ave 13%
Strongest call
Gil Vicente to win
71%
How we get there
Gil VicentestepRio Ave
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Gil Vicente to win
71%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
Rio Ave or draw
22%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Gil Vicente average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Rio Ave average 3.3 corners per game away from home this season (18 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Gil Vicente fixtures & form →Rio Ave fixtures & form →

Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Gil Vicente and Rio Ave — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Gil Vicente 58% · draw 29% · Rio Ave 13%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Gil Vicente predictions & form →Rio Ave predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Gil Vicente 1–0 Rio Ave
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.