SCOTLAND: PremiershipSunday 09 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Heart of Midlothian vDundee United

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Heart of Midlothian 55%Draw 28%Dundee United 16%
Strongest call
Heart of Midlothian or draw
75%
How we get there
Heart of MidlothianstepDundee United
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Heart of Midlothian or draw
75%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
Dundee United or draw
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Hearts average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Dundee United average 3.6 corners per game away from home this season (20 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Heart of Midlothian fixtures & form →Dundee United fixtures & form →

Hearts vs Dundee United — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Hearts and Dundee United — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Hearts 55% · draw 28% · Dundee United 16%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Hearts predictions & form →Dundee United predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Heart of Midlothian 4–0 Dundee United
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.