Bawler / SCOTLAND: Premiership / Dundee United
Team profile

Dundee United Prediction

Per-game numbers from 41 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.1
a game
15.2 faced
On target
4.2
a game
5.1 faced
Goals
1.2 – 1.7
scored – conceded
a game, 41 matches
Next match
49%
Dundee United win chance
vs Dundee · Sat 22 Aug 16:45

Dundee United prediction: for Dundee United's next match — Dundee United vs Dundee on Saturday 22 Aug, 16:45 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Dundee United win looks most likely (49%).

Dundee United sit close to the Premiership average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.34 expected goals a game and conceding 1.43. Next up is Dundee, where the model has them narrowly ahead at 49%.

Dundee United in numbers

41 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.7
Home 1.2Away 1.3
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.6
Home 5.4Away 3.6
13.1
Shots · per game
faced 15.2
Home 14.3Away 11.8
4.2
On target · per game
faced 5.1
Home 4.4Away 4.0
Last 6 games
15 Aug
0-4
vs Celtic
7-4
09 Aug
0-4
@ Hearts
2-7
31 Jul
1-1
vs Rangers
5-10
17 May
1-1
@ St. Mirren
2-10
12 May
0-0
vs Livingston
7-8
09 May
0-2
@ Aberdeen
2-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Dundee · Saturday 22 Aug, 16:45 UTC

Win
49%
This team
Draw
29%
Loss
22%
Dundee
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Dundee United compare with the SCOTLAND: Premiership average, per match.

Goals for
1.34
Above average
Goals against
1.43
Leakier than most
Record
2W 0D 1L
3 settled
Real goals
1.7 – 1.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.34
Conceded1.43

The grey line on each bar is the SCOTLAND: Premiership average (1.34 scored, 1.40 conceded).

Recent matches (last 3)

Sun 09 Aug@ Heart of Midlothian
High confidence: 1X
Sun 26 Aprvs Dundee FC
High confidence: Dundee Utd or Draw (Double Chance)
Sun 22 Marvs Celtic
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INDaniel BennieSTfrom Queens Park RangersLoan
INDylan TaitDMfrom FalkirkFree transfer
INMichael ForbesCBfrom West Ham UnitedFree transfer
INJesse RandallLMfrom Auckland FCFree transfer
INJoshua RawlinsRBfrom Melbourne VictoryUndisclosed
INKevin CiubotaruLBfrom AFC HermannstadtFree transfer
INJack WaltonGKfrom Preston North EndUndisclosed
INLachlan RoseSTfrom Newcastle JetsFree transfer
OUTOwen StirtonSTto Ayr UnitedLoan
OUTScott ConstableRBto ArbroathLoan
OUTRyan StrainRMto FalkirkFree transfer
OUTAshley Maynard-BrewerGKto Sheffield WednesdayFree transfer
OUTCraig SibbaldCMto FalkirkFree transfer
OUTMatthew Mudieto SpartansLoan
OUTLewis O'DonnellCMto StenhousemuirFree transfer
OUTRuairidh AdamsGKto AirdrieoniansLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Dundee United and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly