NETHERLANDS: EredivisieSunday 09 Aug, 14:45 UTC

Heerenveen vFC Twente

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Heerenveen 47%Draw 28%FC Twente 26%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
80%
How we get there
HeerenveenstepFC Twente
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
80%
FC Twente or draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Heerenveen average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Twente average 5.5 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Heerenveen fixtures & form →FC Twente fixtures & form →

Heerenveen vs Twente — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Heerenveen and Twente — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Heerenveen 47% · draw 28% · Twente 26%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Heerenveen predictions & form →Twente predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Heerenveen 1–0 FC Twente
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.