Bawler / Netherlands: Eredivisie / Heerenveen
Team profile

Heerenveen Prediction

Per-game numbers from 36 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.7
a game
14.1 faced
On target
5.3
a game
5.3 faced
Goals
1.7 – 1.6
scored – conceded
a game, 36 matches
Next match
63%
Heerenveen win chance
vs Zwolle · Sat 22 Aug 19:00

Heerenveen prediction: for Heerenveen's next match — Heerenveen vs Zwolle on Saturday 22 Aug, 19:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Heerenveen win looks most likely (63%).

Heerenveen sit close to the Eredivisie average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.79 expected goals a game and conceding 1.51. Next up is PEC Zwolle, where the model makes them clear favourites at 63%.

Heerenveen in numbers

36 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
Home 1.9Away 1.4
5.5
Corners · per game
give up 5.2
Home 5.8Away 5.2
14.7
Shots · per game
faced 14.1
Home 15.8Away 13.7
5.3
On target · per game
faced 5.3
Home 5.7Away 4.9
Last 6 games
09 Aug
1-0
vs Twente
4-8
21 May
2-3
@ Utrecht
6-9
17 May
0-0
vs Ajax
10-6
10 May
0-2
@ NAC Breda
3-7
03 May
2-0
@ Volendam
5-7
25 Apr
2-1
vs Sittard
7-0

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Zwolle · Saturday 22 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Win
63%
Heerenveen
Draw
23%
Loss
14%
Zwolle
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Heerenveen compare with the Netherlands: Eredivisie average, per match.

Goals for
1.79
Above average
Goals against
1.51
Tighter than most
Record
2W 2D 2L
6 settled
Real goals
1.5 – 1.3
For / against, per match
Scored1.79
Conceded1.51

The grey line on each bar is the Netherlands: Eredivisie average (1.63 scored, 1.55 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.79 xG per match · +0.16 above the Netherlands: Eredivisie average of 1.63.

How Bawler has done on Heerenveen

67%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 6
Goals (Over/Under)67%4/6

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Sun 09 Augvs FC Twente
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 21 May@ FC Utrecht
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Ajax Amsterdam
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 May@ NAC Breda
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 05 Aprvs Heracles
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 22 Mar@ Nijmegen
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on Heerenveen and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly