FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Houston Dynamo FC 1–0 LA GalaxyMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 16 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Houston Dynamo FC at 44%, draw at 31%, LA Galaxy at 26%. The match ended 1-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Houston Dynamo FC.
> Pre-match probability vs result
FC win
44%
Actual ✓
Draw
31%
Galaxy win
26%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 82%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 54%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 24%
✗ Lost