USA: MLSSunday 16 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Houston Dynamo FC vLA Galaxy

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Houston Dynamo FC 44%Draw 31%LA Galaxy 26%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
82%
How we get there
Houston Dynamo FCstepLA Galaxy
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Over 3.5 goals
24%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Houston Dynamo average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). LA Galaxy average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Houston Dynamo FC fixtures & form →LA Galaxy fixtures & form →

Houston Dynamo vs LA Galaxy — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 24 May 2026, Houston Dynamo have won 0, LA Galaxy have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
24 May 2026LA Galaxy 1–1 Houston DynamoUSA: MLS

The model's verdict for this fixture: Houston Dynamo 44% · draw 31% · LA Galaxy 26%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Houston Dynamo predictions & form →LA Galaxy predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Houston Dynamo FC 1–0 LA Galaxy
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.