Houston Dynamo FC beat LA Galaxy 1–0. Bawler's model had Houston Dynamo FC in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 9 shots (2 on target) to LA Galaxy's 9 (0), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Houston Dynamo FC beat LA Galaxy 1–0. Bawler's model had Houston Dynamo FC in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Houston Dynamo FC had 9 shots (2 on target) to LA Galaxy's 9 (0), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.7.
Houston Dynamo FC 1–0 LA Galaxy, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Houston Dynamo FC 44%, the draw 31% and LA Galaxy 26%.
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.7, Shots 9–9, Shots on target 2–0, Shots inside box 3–5, Big chances 1–0, Corners 4–3, Saves 0–1, Fouls 15–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 4–1, Red cards 1–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so LA Galaxy failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Houston Dynamo FC or draw 74%, it finished Houston Dynamo FC won (44% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.