Bawler / USA: MLS / Houston Dynamo
Team profile

Houston Dynamo Prediction

Per-game numbers from 46 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.4
a game
11.6 faced
On target
4.0
a game
3.9 faced
Goals
1.3 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 46 matches
Next match
15%
Houston Dynamo win chance
at Vancouver Whitecaps · Thu 20 Aug 02:30

Houston Dynamo prediction: for Houston Dynamo's next match — Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo on Thursday 20 Aug, 02:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Vancouver Whitecaps are favoured (63%).

Houston Dynamo sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.33 expected goals a game and conceding 1.47. Form is with them: 4 straight wins. Next up is a trip to Vancouver Whitecaps, where the model has them as underdogs at 15%.

Houston Dynamo in numbers

46 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 1.2Away 1.4
4.8
Corners · per game
give up 5.3
Home 5.5Away 4.1
12.4
Shots · per game
faced 11.6
Home 13.7Away 11.1
4.0
On target · per game
faced 3.9
Home 4.3Away 3.6
Last 6 games
16 Aug
1-0
vs LA Galaxy
4-3
08 Aug
2-0
@ New England Revolution
4-9
02 Aug
2-0
@ Sporting Kansas City
6-2
26 Jul
3-0
vs Austin
1-6
23 Jul
1-1
vs D.C. United
3-3
24 May
1-1
@ LA Galaxy
2-8

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Vancouver Whitecaps · Thursday 20 Aug, 02:30 UTC

Win
15%
This team
Draw
22%
Loss
63%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Houston Dynamo compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.33
Below average
Goals against
1.47
Leakier than most
Record
7W 2D 3L
12 settled
Real goals
1.3 – 0.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.33
Conceded1.47

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
On a 4-match winning run
Form line shows consecutive wins in their most recent settled fixtures. Momentum factor worth weighting.

How Bawler has done on Houston Dynamo

67%
of high-confidence calls correct — 8 of 12
Goals (Over/Under)67%6/9
Result67%2/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Sun 23 Aug@ St. Louis CITY SC

Recent matches (last 10)

Sun 16 Augvs LA Galaxy
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 08 Aug@ New England Revolution
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 02 Aug@ Sporting Kansas City
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Julvs Austin FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 23 Julvs D.C. United
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 24 May@ LA Galaxy
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Vancouver Whitecaps
High confidence: X2
Thu 14 May@ Real Salt Lake
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 03 Mayvs Colorado Rapids
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 19 Apr@ Orlando City
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INMarcelo SaracchiLBfrom Boca Juniors€1.1m
INDuncan McGuireSTfrom Orlando City€1.1m
INSamuel VinesLBfrom Free agentFree transfer
INIbrahim AliyuSTfrom Columbus Crew€217
OUTEzequiel PonceSTto Elche€2m
OUTGriffin DorseyRBto Orlando City€500k
OUTToyosi OlusanyaSTto AberdeenFree transfer
OUTSérgio SantosSTto Atlanta UnitedFree transfer
OUTExon ArzúLWto Carabobo FCLoan
OUTEthan BartlowCBto Sporting Kansas CityFree transfer
OUTDiego GonzalezDMto Portland Hearts of PineLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Houston Dynamo and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly