How it finished
Uruguay beat India 6–1. Bawler's model had Uruguay in front at 79% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 7. India had 14 shots (6 on target) to Uruguay's 18 (8), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 4.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won India vs Uruguay?
Uruguay beat India 6–1. Bawler's model had Uruguay in front at 79% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 7. India had 14 shots (6 on target) to Uruguay's 18 (8), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 4.2.
What was the final score in India vs Uruguay?
India 1–6 Uruguay, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with India 5%, the draw 16% and Uruguay 79%.
What were the stats in India vs Uruguay?
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–4.2, Shots 14–18, Shots on target 6–8, Shots inside box 4–13, Big chances 1–8, Corners 6–6, Saves 2–5, Fouls 11–9, Offsides 2–6, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in India vs Uruguay?
Yes — both India and Uruguay scored, finishing 1–6. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 32% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for India vs Uruguay right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Uruguay to win 79%, it finished Uruguay won (79% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 32%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.