USA: MLSSaturday 01 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Inter Miami CF vColumbus Crew

Most likely scoreline
11
10% of the time · 3.14 goals expected
Inter Miami CF 46%Draw 28%Columbus Crew 26%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
78%

Over 1.5 Goals at 78% confidence is the play here—Miami's 0.47 xG edge and Messi's creative dominance (35% of team output) makes a multi-goal affair the likeliest script.

How we get there
Inter Miami CFstepColumbus Crew
1.60Base xG · rolling 26-match1.42
× 1.13Home advantage · Home× 0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.80Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.34
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Inter Miami CF or draw
50%
Over 3.5 goals
27%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Inter Miami average 5.3 corners per game at home this season (30 competitive matches). Columbus Crew average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
6
4
2
1
1
8
10
7
3
1
2
7
9
6
3
1
3
4
6
4
2
1
4
2
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Inter Miami and Columbus Crew — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Inter Miami 46% · draw 28% · Columbus Crew 26%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Inter Miami CF 22 Columbus Crew
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.